Gate 01 · point in time
48 → 31
17 killed. Restated fundamentals leaked into the fit window.
Data is rebuilt as it was reported on each date.
loading run 04:12 · 0 / 48
astroquanta · run 04:12
6 / 48
For systematic funds. Give it a trading idea tonight. By morning it has backtested dozens of versions against real trading costs and shows you the few that survived, with a log of every one that failed.
One hypothesis, 48 specifications, overnight.
Illustrative output. Hypothetical results, not actual trading.
The sweep does not rank ideas. It kills them, and says why.
48 → 31
17 killed. Restated fundamentals leaked into the fit window.
Data is rebuilt as it was reported on each date.
31 → 31
0 killed. Thirty one in, thirty one out.
Fit on one window, test on the next. A gate that kills nothing is still logged.
31 → 14
17 killed. Edge under 4 bps against a 7 bp round trip.
14 → 6
8 killed. Under $40 million before impact ate the edge.
6 / 48. The denominator stays on screen.
| item | what you get | without it |
|---|---|---|
| Point in time, rebuilt rather than lagged | Every figure stored with the date it became public. | Look ahead you find after allocation. |
| The trial log is the deliverable | Every specification tried, with the reason for each kill. Each Sharpe is cut for the count. | A Sharpe with no denominator. |
| Costs charged before conclusions | Spread, commission and size-scaled impact on every fill. Every curve is net. | Ideas that only work trading free. |
| Capacity stated with the result | The dollar size at which impact eats a third of the edge. | A $40 million strategy and a $310 million one look the same on a chart. |
| Vendor onboarding in days | Entity mapping, backfill and licence checks, once per dataset. | Most of a researcher’s quarter per new dataset. |
The denominator.
the run
Ran overnight.
the log
Every attempt, with the reason it died.
the candidate
Costed, capped and haircut.
One survivor, fully costed.
All figures come from one modelled run, id 04:12.
Illustrative output. Backtested, modelled and simulated results are hypothetical. They do not represent actual trading, they carry the benefit of hindsight, and they may differ materially from any result achieved in the market. Past performance, real or simulated, does not indicate future results.
No output of the Services is a recommendation, an offer, a solicitation, or advice about any security, strategy or account. Every investment decision is made by the customer and the customer's own investment professionals.
“A researcher that does not report the number of trials N used to identify the selected backtest configuration makes it impossible to assess the risk of overfitting.”
The trial log is built to that sentence.
A run that finishes at 04:12 is worth a text. Account notifications only: run finished, log ready, billing and renewal, decay watch changes.
Two keys, one route. Press g, then the route's first letter.
Shortcuts pause while a field has focus.